An EMT-Related Gene Signature for Predicting Response to Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Background For pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients, chemotherapy failure is the major reason for postoperative recurrence and poor outcomes. Establishment of novel biomarkers and models for predicting chemotherapeutic efficacy may provide survival benefits by tailoring treatments. Methods Univariate cox regression analysis was employed to identify EMT-related genes with prognostic potential for DFS. These genes were subsequently submitted to LASSO regression analysis and multivariate cox regression analysis to identify an optimal gene signature in TCGA training cohort. The predictive accuracy was assessed by Kaplan-Meier (K-M), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves and was validated in PACA-CA cohort and our local cohort. Pathway enrichment and function annotation analyses were conducted to illuminate the biological implication of this risk signature. Results LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses selected an 8-gene signature comprised DLX2, FGF9, IL6R, ITGB6, MYC, LGR5, S100A2, and TNFSF12. The signature had the capability to classify PDAC patients with different DFS, both in the training and validation cohorts. It provided improved DFS prediction compared with clinical indicators. This signature was associated with several cancer-related pathways. In addition, the signature could also predict the response to immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs)-based immunotherapy. Conclusion We established a novel EMT-related gene signature that was capable of predicting therapeutic response to adjuvant chemotherapy and immunotherapy. This signature might facilitate individualized treatment and appropriate management of PDAC patients.