Cost of illness of leukemia in Japan – Trend analysis and future projections

Abstract Background Leukemia is a deadly hematological malignancy that usually affects all age groups and imposes significant burden on public funds and society. The objective of this study was to analyze the cost of illness (COI) of leukemia, and to mark out the underlying driving factors, in Japan. Methods COI method was applied to the data from government statistics. We first summed up the direct and indirect costs from 1996 to 2014; then future COI for the year 2017–2029 was projected. Results Calculated COI showed an upward trend with a 13% increase from 1996 to 2014 (270–305 billion yen). Increased COI was attributed to an increase in direct costs. Although mortality cost accounted for the largest proportion of COI, but followed a downward trend. Decreased mortality costs reflected the effects of aging. Mortality cost per person also decreased, however, the percentage of mortality cost for individuals ≥65 years of age increased consistently from 1996 to 2014. If a similar trend in health-related indicators continue, COI would remain stable from 2017 to 2029 regardless of models. Conclusion COI of leukemia increased from 1996 to 2014, but was projected to decrease in foreseeable future. With advancement of new therapies, leukemia has become potentially curable and require long-term care; so direct cost and morbidity cost will remain unchanged. This reveal the further continuing burden on public funds. Thus, the information obtained from this study can be regarded as beneficial to future policy making with respect to government policies in Japan.