Comparison of Trends in Tuberculosis Incidence among Adults Living with HIV and Adults without HIV – Kenya, 1998–2012

BACKGROUND: In Kenya the comparative incidences of tuberculosis among persons with and without HIV have not been described and the differential impact of public health interventions on tuberculosis incidence in the two groups is unknown. METHODS: We estimated annual tuberculosis incidence stratified by HIV status during 2006-2012 based on the numbers of reported tuberculosis patients with and without HIV infection the prevalence of HIV infection in the general population and the total population. We also made crude estimates of annual tuberculosis incidence stratified by HIV status during 1998-2012 by assuming a constant ratio of HIV prevalence among tuberculosis patients compared to the general population. RESULTS: Tuberculosis incidence among both adults with HIV and adults without HIV increased during 1998-2004 then remained relatively stable until 2007. During 2007-2012 tuberculosis incidence declined by 28-44% among adults with HIV and by 11-26% among adults without HIV concurrent with an increase in antiretroviral therapy uptake. In 2012 tuberculosis incidence among adults with HIV (1839-1936 cases/100000 population) was still eight times as high as among adults without HIV (231-238 cases/100000 population) and approximately one third of tuberculosis cases were attributable to HIV. CONCLUSIONS: Although tuberculosis incidence has declined among adults with and without HIV the persistent high incidence of tuberculosis among those with HIV and the disparity between the two groups are concerning. Early diagnosis of HIV early initiation of antiretroviral therapy regular screening for tuberculosis and isoniazid preventive therapy among persons with HIV as well as tuberculosis control in the general population are required to address these issues.