Prognostic Value of Mean, Diastolic, and Systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure in Patients With End-stage Lung Disease Referred for Lung Transplantation

Abstract Background Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a common complication in end-stage lung disease (esLD). The aim of this study was to establish the best threshold values for mean, systolic, and diastolic artery pressure (mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP, respectively) to identify patients with esLD referred for lung transplantation and to predict 1-year prognosis. Methods Sixty-five patients were enrolled in the study (75% men) with a mean age of 53.3 ± 9.5 years; 31% had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), 57% had idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), and 12% had interstitial lung diseases (ILDs). The mean period of observation was 14.4 ± 5 months. We assessed invasively mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP, as well as pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP), using a Swan-Ganz catheter. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to identify the best cutoff points for mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP to predict survival. The study endpoint was defined as 1-year mortality before transplantation. Survival analysis was completed according to the Kaplan-Meier method. Results During follow-up, 30 (46.1%) patients died and 19 (29%) underwent lung transplantation. Based on ROC curve analysis, we estimated mPAP ≥30 mm Hg, dPAP ≥20 mm Hg, and sPAP ≥44 mm Hg as the best threshold values with the highest sensitivity (70%, 70%, and 73%, respectively) and specificity (76%, 69%, and 72%, respectively) and the acceptable area under curve (0.67, 0.68, and 0.72, respectively). The negative predictive values for mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP were higher than the positive predictive values (79%, 77%, and 81% vs 67%, 61%, and 64%, respectively). We also constructed Kaplan-Meier curves for mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP threshold values. There were significant differences in 1-year survival between patients with and without PH for mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP threshold values ( P  = .005, P  = .035, and P Conclusion Elevated mPAP, dPAP, and sPAP are related to worse prognosis in patients with esLD referred for lung transplantation.