A simple discharge risk model for predicting 1-year mortality in hospitalised acute decompansated heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction

AbstractObjective: The risk stratification for prognosis in heart failure is very important for optimal disease management and decision making. The aim of this study was to establish a simple discharge 1-year mortality prediction model by integrating data obtained from demographic characteristics, clinical evaluation, laboratory biomarkers and echocardiographic evaluation of hospitalised heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients with acute decompensation.Methods and results: A risk score model was developed based on β-coefficient number of variables in a multivariable logistic regression model which was created with the use of data on clinical, laboratory, imaging and therapeutic findings of 670 patients (65.4% males, 65 ± 11 years) who was hospitalised with acute decompensated HFrEF. The mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 26 ± 9%. Independent predictors of mortality were: age ≥75 years, sodium <130 mEq/L, hepatomegaly at admission, unable to use beta-blocker at dischar...