Long-term incidence and predictive factors of thromboembolic events after a cryoballoon ablation for atrial fibrillation.

Abstract Background Long-term outcomes in terms of thromboembolic events (TEs) are poorly described after cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation (cryo-PVI) for atrial fibrillation (AF). We evaluated the long-term incidence and predictive factors of TE after cryo-PVI. Methods All consecutive patients who underwent cryo-PVI for paroxysmal or persistent AF between November 2012 and October 2017 were included. They were prospectively followed for at least 12 months in the ablation center and then by their cardiologist. Data on all ischemic events (stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), systemic embolism) were collected. Results In total, 450 patients (78% men, median age 61 years) were included. The mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 1.6 ± 1.3 and 26 patients (6%) had a history of stroke/TIA before the procedure. OAT was discontinued for 75 patients (17%) after the procedure, among whom 50 (67%) had no indication for long-term anticoagulation. Six patients experienced an ischemic event, all considered as a TE: three strokes, two TIAs, and one acute lower-limb ischemia. The mean follow up was 30 months. Thus, the incidence of TE was 0.53%/year. Three of the six patients who experienced a TE had no recurrence of atrial arrhythmia documented before, at the time, or after the event. All patients who experienced a TE had a class I or class IIa indication for long-term anticoagulation. After multivariate analysis, the CHA2DS2-VASc Score (p = .0005) was a predictor of TEs. Conclusion The long-term incidence of TEs after cryo-PVI was 0.53%/year. The CHA2DS2-VASc Score was the only independent predictor of TEs.