Abstract P060: A Point-based Prediction Model for Predicting 10-year Risk of Developing Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Japanese Men: Aichi Workers’ Cohort Study

Objective: Preventive services including screening for diabetes and its potential risk factorsare available to more Americans under Obamacare Preventive Care. Stratifying individuals by the predicted risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) would be useful for improving public health with efficient interventions. Although a number of T2DM prediction models have been reported, there is little evidence in East Asians, especially that from long-term follow-up studies. They are reported to have lower ability of innate insulin secretion and develop diabetes at much lower body mass index (BMI) than Caucasians and African Americans. Thus, this study aims to develop a point-based prediction model for 10-year risk of developing T2DM incidence in middle-aged Japanese men. Method: We followed 3,540 males in a worksite in Japan who were aged 35-64 years and free of diabetes in 2002 until March 31, 2015. Relationships of baseline age (continuous), BMI (<23, 23- <25 [reference category (Ref)], 25- <27.5, ≥27....