Abstract 13894: Prediction of Mode of Death by Model of End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding INR (MELD-XI) Scoring System in Patients Admitted for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure With Preserved and Reduced Ejection Fraction; a Comparison With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score

2016 
Backgrounds: Cardiohepatic interactions have been a focus of attention among heart failure. A model of end-stage liver disease excluding INR (MELD-XI), a robust scoring system of liver dysfunction, has been shown to provide prognostic information in heart failure patients (pts). Furthermore, it was reported that nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. There is a difference in mode of death (cardiac vs non-cardiac death) between heart failure with preserved (HFpEF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We sought to investigate the prognostic significance of MELD-XI and NAFLD in the prediction of mode of death in pts admitted for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF), relating to HFpEF and HFrEF. Methods and Results: We studied 303 consecutive ADHF pts (HFrEF[LVEF 9 /L) - 0.66 х albumin. During a follow-up period of 5.1±4.3 yrs, 65 pts had cardiac death and 56 pts had non-cardiac death. At multivariate Cox analysis, MELD-XI score, but not NFS, was significantly associated with cardiac death independently of prior heart failure hospitalization, BMI, systolic blood pressure and serum sodium level, while neither MELD-XI score nor NFS showed the association with non-cardiac death. MELD-XI of 13 was a fair discriminator for cardiac death (AUC 0.737[0.670-0.805]). In both groups with HFrEF and HFpEF, pts with higher MELD-XI score had a significantly higher risk of cardiac death than those with lower MELD-XI score. Conclusion: A MELD-XI scoring system might predict cardiac death but not non-cardiac death in ADHF pts, regardless of HFrEF or HFpEF, although NAFLD fibrosis score did not.
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